The National Weather Service says a hurricane watch remains in effect from north of Altamaha Sound to Cape Fear, N.C., but the 11 p.m. advisory shows that the track has shifted to the east.
Over the past several hours, Ernesto has been moving toward the North-Northwest at near 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A turn to the north with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 hours.
How much strengthening occurs after Ernest emerges into the Atlantic depends on how much of a storm is left. The GFDL model still wants to make Ernesto a hurricane in the Atlantic. Out of respect for the model, the official intensity for a Carolina's landfall is only reduced slightly.
There are no significant changes to the current forecast track or intensity of Ernesto.
An inland tropical storm watch remains in effect of Dorchester and Berkeley Counties and residents there should keep an eye out for rain and thunderstorms.
Maximum winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected later as the system moves inland. There remains a slight chance that Ernesto could strengthen to a hurricane on Thursday as it approaches the Carolina coast.
Boaters on Lake Moultrie can expect extremely dangerous conditions on the lake Wednesday night through Thursday night.
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