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Storm Photo Album

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    Tropical Storm Ernesto brought wind and rain to the Lowcountry of South Carolina on Thursday August 31, 2006. Photographs by the staff of The Post and Courier.

Folly Surfing Photos

  • Folly_surf_14
    Tropical Storm Ernesto kicked up the surf at Folly Beach on Thursday morning and there were plenty of surfers taking advantage it. Photos by Grace Beahm of The Post and Courier Staff.

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01 September 2006

Ernesto coverage ends

I just came from the morning news meeting here bearing Executive Editor Bill Hawkin's formal all-clear order to shut down Storm Watch's Ernesto coverage (For the record: we went off the 24-hour news cycle last night at 6:44).

Our Ernesto coverage began around 1 p.m. on Tuesday and included 137 posts and two photo galleries, all of which will remain available and searchable. According to Statcounter, these reports have generated more than 16,500 hits, and we're still getting residual traffic this morning, much of it from other parts of the country. Even without a storm, Storm Watch remains our most popular blog at this hour.

We'll hold a lessons-learned meeting on Wednesday afternoon to discuss the staff's performance during Ernesto, and we've collected multiple comments, suggestions and ideas to discuss at there. Much of what we've learned from the public reflects a desire for up-to-the-minute information, but a loathing of hype. That's good to know. If you've got feedback for us, please leave it in comments to this post.

Storm Watch
will "go live" again the next time a major tropical system threatens the Lowcountry. Until then: Roger, out.

--Dan Conover

Find our other blogs at Postscripts on The P&C's mothership, Charleston.net.
 

The blog view

So Ernesto went north, but the storm was still blog fodder:

Mary at My Thinking Chair:

We received some rain, but honestly, we get "normal" rainstorms that were worse than that.

Rachel, from her blog in Ravenel:

We had light rain and winds most of the morning and when I checked the rain gauge around 9AM, we had only gotten about 0.2" of rain.

As predicted, around noon, things started to pick up. We had moderate to heavy rain most of the afternoon, and by the evening, we were close to 2" of rain in the gauge. By dinner time though, things were clearing up. We had a nice dinner out with two of our neighbors, and on the drive home, we watched the setting sun.

Sunniefaerie at her blog:

The media had a lot of people freaking out about the "storm" coming. It wasn't even a hurricane, yet schools were closed, lots of businesses were closed. And all we got was a full day of rain.

My kids were all freaking out, asking, "when is the storm coming?" I had to explain to them that the rain WAS the storm. There was no thunder, no lightening. Just rain. My kids were out of school for a rain day?! Come on people! I could understand more if it were a SNOW day. We rarely get snow. But for a tropical depression, we shut everything down? We were actually under an EPSOM 1...whatever the hell that means. I know it's not good. But if they're going to get all freaked out, at least let it be for a hurricane, category 1 or so. Not for a tropical storm or tropical depression.

I KNEW this was just going to be a "rainy day" and everyone else was freaking out, evacuating or going to shelters. I stayed where I am usually at. HOME. Inside. With my children, in the AC, watching cartoons or playing games or coloring.

JanetLee at Kittens On The Keyboard:

I was trying to get in the storm frenzy mood. Really, I was. My plan was to take pictures of the same view from my front porch every hour to document the conditions.

It drizzled. It rained. It drizzled. It rained. High tide came and the storm drain backed up a little. I braved the raging drizzle and light breeze (maybe it was the eye passing) to wander out to look at the creek. It was high tide. Whoo-hoo.

zzzzzz....huh?  Oh yeah, I was reporting on The Storm.

I can say that here in West Ashley:  it rained some.

I know that much of this is due to the Katrina effect. Any person in any organization from all levels of government down to utilities are afraid that if anything goes wrong with anyones life at any time during The Storm, they will be blamed.

Jason at Cavaliers and Roundheads:

Sleepy_thor I spent the day inside, thanks to the rain, and passed the time with telephone interviews, transcription, organizing notes, line-editing stories that are due soon, and processing photos on the computer. Real thrill-a-minute, but essential, stuff. Here is Thor to sum up exactly how I feel at this moment.

April at Once Upon a Time:

Seriously though, being mentally wiped by the doomsday predictions on the news about these bloody storms, and then having nothing come of it is quite painful. It is like mentally preparing for a root canal and then being told in the dentist's chair that all they need to do is a cleaning.

Don't get me wrong; I am grateful that my family has access to information that a storm is coming in and that it may be dangerous. And God bless those reporters with the temerity and sense of physical balance to stand on a beach and have rain whipped into their faces. However, I still think that the media needs moderate and balance their storm coverage to the actual strength of the storm and what damage is likely to occur given local architecture, sea level and governmental preparedness.

Lisa, at Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness (in a post about discovering a huge banana spider on the porch while staying home during Ernesto):

Both of my kids were worried that Miss Spider's web would be ruined during the storm. It did take quite a whipping as webs go, but it proved to be quite sturdy.

Mike at Notoriously Nice Mike:

Smoke 'em if you've got 'em.  It will keep raining here for a few hours but it looks like Ernesto is now someone else's problem.

P&C reporter Andy Paras at his Colleton Now news blog:

After a week of hype and mild hysteria, it turns out this Ernesto guy was pretty drab and dreary.

Colleton County felt mild drizzles and small gusts but escaped without any flooding and other sorts of bedlam.

P&C Public Editor Elsa McDowell, at her Ask Elsa blog, writing about this blog:

Ernesto has helped demonstrate how the union of newspapers and blogging can work. In the past, the paper has been able to provide readers with good, solid information about preparing for a storm and about recovering from one, but the up-to-the-minute coverage has come from television and radio.

With Ernesto, The Post and Courier has kept a blog giving readers timely information about things like school closings, road floodings and storm movement. It has provided helpful links for users, and it has provided a forum for people to register comments and to get answers to their specific questions.

P&C Executive Editor Bill Hawkins, at his blog:

Staffers who might have looked askance at bloggers suddenly found themselves blogging to report a story that was literally changing by the hour, or even minute. More experienced bloggers from all around Charleston jumped in, bringing talent and depth to our report.

Posts ranged from practical advice from staffer Marsha Guerard about where to find pet friendly motels, to a local blogger’s hour by hour account of storm mania in Charleston, to the latest dispatches from our team chasing the storm north of Myrtle Beach.

Storm Watch has already collected more than 11,000 (Editor's note: that figure was current at 3 p.m. Thursday) hits, resulting in newfound respect in our newsroom for the role of blogs in reporting a rapidly changing story.

Chuck, author of the blog Chuckography, in a comment to Hawkins:

Bill, the beauty of blogging coverage of a storm is the LACK of hysterics. Not TV's shouting "an end of civilization as we know it " hype, just the facts. Lots and lots of facts that I can choose to look over if and when I wish. Without cranked-up volume.

And the viewpoints are diverse from a cute little Isle of Palms kid on a balcony to updated weather maps every 20 minutes to "Walk This Way" snapshots of coeds boating on a downtown city street.

JET at The Bushido Way:

The Post & Courier’s, what Brad calls the LowCountry bloggers, Postscripts have great coverage of the logistics regarding evacuations, parking and the other “Devils hiding in the details” we like to ignore until we are face to face.

Finally, here's Geoff of Geofftech:

Geoff_reports No offence to anyone, but after all the hype it has been a bit of an anti-climax. Mind you, this I guess lulls you into a false sense of security. Leigh tells me that a friend she has living down Mississippi was very kind of ‘yeah… whatever…’ when Katrina was was first rumoured last year, because they’d heard it all before. Then their house got badly damaged … so you never can tell....
There will be no more updates today.  It’s back to drizzling anyway. Time for that cup of tea I talked about …

By the way, Geoff's final Ernesto post was a 7MB video update, which you can download here.

 

31 August 2006

More blogger shots: Before the storm

Preernesto I just love this one, called Ernesto Rain Bands, Pre-Storm Folly Beach.

It was posted by the author of the blog the painted band-aid box, which chronicles the author's life as an emergency medical technician (and, more recently, her work in an emergency room).

This link will take you to her Ernesto Flickr stream. It's one of several remarkable images in the set, and part of a larger stream with many more images.

And now: Surfing pictures!

Folly_surf_09If you're just an average Joe or Jane resident of the Lowcountry, you'll likely remember Tropical Storm Ernesto as a kinda rainy day when the kids stayed home from school and traffic got kinda bad.

But if you're a surfer, and if you made to the Washout on Folly Beach today, you'll probably remember Ernesto as one of the greatest single days of surfing we've seen in the Lowcountry in a long, long time. We heard from several surfers today, and they were almost reverent in describing the conditions.

Photographer Grace Beahm shot these photos (among others) today, and when we saw them we just knew that the surfers out there would enjoy taking a look at some of her shots that weren't going to make the print publication cut... So here's a gallery just to remember the day... and to make those of you who didn't make it out to Folly really, really jealous...

North Charleston High School

Just heard on Channel 5 that while other schools are opening on regular schedules, North Charleston High School will be opening at 9:30.

Makes sense. That's been the main emergency shelter since 3 p.m. yesterday...

Blog pictures

JoanpicVanderhorst, Smith Street & Murphy's Court. ... the photo is by Joan Perry of the popular Charleston blog Walk This Way... and there are more like it there...

JsmithpicHere's Cannon Park, the neighborhood of blogger Jared W. Smith. He's got more at his blog...

Berkeley: No damage

From reporter Yvonne Wenger:

Berkeley County Emergency Preparedness Director Jason Patno said there was no reports of damage or flooding in the county.County offices will be open usual business hours Friday, including the county landfill. Berkeley County schools will also be open, Patno said.
The three county shelters began closing this evening, Patno said. About two dozen residents spent the day at shelters at Berkeley High School, Goose Creek High School and Berkeley Intermediate School.

“There was a lot of uncertainty with the forecast track,” Patno said. “We wanted to make sure we were prepared to the fullest extent possible. This shows exactly why we should be prepared.”

Evacuation over, shelters close

Here are some highlights from the last Ernesto press conference from the Charleston County Emergency Operations Center:

Leon Stavrinakis: The voluntary evacuation is over, and they're closing down the emergency Red Cross shelters...

It's not quite a complete stand-down yet. There's still a possibility of inclement weather in the northern end of the county... wind and rain... but the threat should pass in the next couple of hours.

Cathy Haynes: They've gone back to OPCON 3 after the state EOC conference call, scaling back the staff to some key people... as soon as they've fully shut down the emergency shelters they'll be able to return to the normal operating condition...

Fifty-five people stayed in the Charleston County emergency shelters...

About 900 SCEG people are without power...  Roughly 100 Berkeley Electric customers lost power ... utility crews are on the job... Only one tree went down, and it's already been removed...

All county governement offices and county courts will open tomorrow.

In response to a question about whether the storm was a good drill for local emergency officials, Haynes said: "I think it was a very good drill. Any opportunity we get to bring the key people together... improves our response and our assistance to the citizens of Charleston County."

Stavrinakis wanted to comment on that: "We didn't treat this as a drill... We would never put the public through this kind of thing as a drill."

And that's it for county EOC press conferences, ladies and gentlemen...

Closing down the 24-cycle

After 130 blog posts over the past 52 hours and multiple Charleston.net updates, we're ending our 24-hour Ernesto news cycle with this post.

We're not done blogging Ernesto, and this Storm Watch blog will continue to cover storm-related Lowcountry news long after Ernesto is gone. But I'm scaling back the intense, minute-to-minute online coverage of this story because Ernesto has moved on. It's still a serious story, but it isn't our story now.

We've been staffing this blog 19 to 20 hours a day since before 1 p.m. on Tuesday, skipping only the 2 a.m. National Hurricane Center updates. Had it been a bigger storm, we'd have staffed those too, but I think the difference between "enough" and "too much" is that enough is enough.

The P&C newsroom is still staffing Ernesto with journalists who are chasing the storm, and we'll have reports in the morning paper and on Charleston.net. We'll post here this evening until we're out of things to talk about, then start up again tomorrow and try to get a clear picture of the storm's aftermath. Your comments and participation will help us refine that picture. We'll check the local blogosphere for reaction, too.

In the meantime, there are still some great things coming up on this blog this evening -- in particular, we're working up a special treat for the surfers -- but our staffing is going to reflect the story as it is, not the story as it's hyped.

Anyway, I hope y'all enjoyed the coverage here over the last three days. Please leave us a comment and give us your feedback and suggestions. Let us know if you've got photos or story tips. And please check back later, too, if only for the surfing stuff...

-- Dan Conover

Weather Underground

Weather Underground's track map:

Coolmap_3

Ernesto 5 p.m.

Tropical Storm Ernesto is blowing 60 knots and moving north-northeast at 15 knots. It now appears headed to make landfall near Wilmington, N.C., and become extra-tropical over land. But the system will then slow down and produce heavy rains over the eastern United States.

Read the public advisory here.

See the forecast discussion here.

Ernesto5thursday

 

 

 

Ernestowind_1

School openings

Schools reporter Diette Courrege files this:

Charleston County schools and district offices will reopen on Friday with normal schedules, except for North Charleston High School, which will open at 9:30 a.m. because that school is being used as an American Red Cross shelter. The delay means that buses providing transportation to North Charleston High School will run two hours later than their usual pick-up times.

Two other schools used as shelters – Stall High School and Alice Birney Middle School – will open at their usual times.

All schools will be dismissed at the usual times.

To get updated information, check the district hotline – (843) 937-0074.

Dorchester District 2 schools are planning to open at its regularly scheduled times. District officials encouraged parents to monitor media broadcasts should there be a change in weather conditions overnight.

Dorchester School District Four will operate on a delayed schedule Friday. Interim Superintendent Jerry Montjoy said a delay was necessary for students' safety because there are a considerable number of unpaved roads in the district. Students will report at 9 a.m. and staff members should come to work at 8 a.m.

Mount Pleasant update

The Town of Mount Pleasant closed its government offices at 3:45 p.m.

Its Emergency Operations Center will remain open on a limited capacity until the weather system has passed our area.

The Mount Pleasant Police Department will continue to monitor the elevated bridges for high winds every 10 to 15 minutes.

Garbage collection will resume on Friday for all Thursday routes.


Flooding

The intersection of Folly  Road and Camp Road on James Island has been closed because of flooding.

The Crosstown in downtown Charleston is closed in both directions (U.S. 17 South and U.S. 17 North).

All intersecting streets around Medical University of South Carolina (MUSC) in downtown Charleston are closed.

The Ravenel Bridge is still being monitored. High profile vehicles are advised to use caution when traveling over the Arthur Ravenel Bridge (US 17) due to high winds until further notice.

At 3:50 p.m., Charleston County reported heavy rain and low visibility on Ashley Phosphate Road at I-26 in North Charleston, a nice change from heavy traffic and low temper thresholds.

The Betsy Kerrison Parkway had standing water but was passable.




Surf's up!

Bates Hagood, Preview editor, reports a phone call from a pretty excited surfing buddy who says: There are double overhead waves at The Washout. Saw a surfer pull into a stand-up barrel.

For surfing pictures, see our staff PHOTO GALLERY a couple of posts below.

North Central flooding

Ernestosimons_1From the Charleston blog Xark come these photos of flooding at Rutledge and Simons, an intersection north of Hampton Park that floods regularly.

Disclosure: This is my wife, Janet Conover, blogging...

Ernestoweb1My neighbors are often on the porches eyeing things too. Our main complaint? Morons who drive through the flooded intersection at 35 miles per hour, thereby causing tiny tsunamis to crash over our sidewalks and brick coping. Thanks, idiots. I favor a lower speed limit altogether and certainly a slow-down warning at the intersection at Simons and Rutledge, when it floods. It was flooded just last Thursday and is flooded today. But people still roar through the intersection regardless. Today's high point was watching the huge Charleston Storm Water truck drive through without stopping. Twice.

If you've got a photo at your blog, or a FLICKR stream, and you want us to point to it, leave us the URL in comments...

Flood reports from EOC

Flooding reports collected by reporter Bo Petersen:

North Charleston
Cosgrove Avenue at Remount, with 5 inches of water.
the old Navy Base areas. Two vehicles stalled in roadway of Cosgrove at the Navy Base.

City of Charleston:
Cannon Street at Hwy. 17
Crosstown and Coming Street
Folly Road and Camp Road and at Wapoo Cut bridge approaches
St. Andrews Blvd. and Maryville Road
Lockwood Blvd and Broad Street

Charleston County
Pinehaven Dr. at Dorchester Road
Folly Road at Fort Johnson Road/northbound lanes of Folly and Camp roads
Bohicket Road in spots

Berkeley conditions

From reporter Yvonne Wenger:

Berkeley County Emergency Preparedness Director Jason Patno reports no problems in the county at 2:30 p.m.

“Things look pretty decent for Berkeley County,” Patno said. “We may experience some heavy rain and respectable wind gusts.”

The county will continue to operate shelters at Berkeley High School, Goose Creek High School and Berkeley Intermediate School until after storm passes. At that time, emergency workers will determine when to close the shelters, Patno said.

Patno said the National Weather Service expects the storm to hit the county at about 4 p.m. and move past the area by 8 p.m. No power outages have been reported.

Eighteen individuals are at Berkeley High School, two at Goose Creek High School and two at Berkeley Intermediate School, which is the county’s special medical needs shelter.

Sanford press conference

Gov. Mark Sanford calls on people to play it safe... Praises the people working on the emergency response...

"There's a lot of folks working awfully hard at the county level and the municipal level... I think they've done a very good job..."

He's going to Myrtle Beach tomorrow morning to inspect... but mostly to "open the welcome gates to tourists..."

In response to a question, a state official estimated that the state has spent about $100,000 on the storm response so far...

Staff photo gallery up

Myrtleponcho This just in from Photo Director Tom Spain: today's first look at the staff Ernesto gallery, which will be growing through the day.

PHOTO INFO: Glenn Orr, from Ohio, braves the wind and rain as he walks down the 2nd Avenue Pier in Myrtle Beach as Tropical Storm Ernesto approaches Thursday. Orr said he and his wife, Joan, have been coming to Mytle Beach for about 23 years and have had to evacuate for "many a storm". They are not evacuating for Ernesto. (Mic Smith/Staff)

Folly Beach report

From reporter Schuyler Kropf, at 13:45:

Folly Beach Police Det. Pedro McTeer said conditions started to deteriorate as the day progressed.
"We're getting a lot of heavy rain right now and little bit of wind," he said.

Officials were concerned how severe the storm would erode sections of the beachfront but didn't plan on venturing out until later in the day, after the tide fell and the storm diminished.

"I'm pretty sure we are getting some," McTeer said. "To the extent how much, I couldn't tell you."

"The waves are getting bigger and it's really just kind of a steady downpour," added Andy Collins, assistant general manager at the Folly Beach Holiday Inn.

The hotel still had power, he said, while the beach remained crowded with surfers around the Folly pier and with beachwalkers braving the elements.

He estimated the waves had kicked up to "chest to head" height.

Bridges monitored, not yet closed

From the EOC:

At the Highway patrol press conference at the EOC,  S.C. Highway Patrol Lance Cpl. Paul Brouthers said that the Don Holt and the Arthur Ravenel Bridge are being closely monitored for conditions. There is a possibility that they will close the bridges if conditions worsen.

Also, the Crosstown is now closed due to flooding. Also Courtenay Street.

We'd heard about Courtenay, but closing the Crosstown is news.

Road conditions

From Bo at EOC:

S.C. Highway Patrol has reports of four or five hydro-planing collisions, with most of the trouble on the interstates. Water is ponding on streets such as the Crosstown Expressway in Charleston.

"One of the things we want to make plain to motorists, if you see standing water, don't go through it. You don't know what's in there," said Cpl. Paul Brouthers.

No surprise about the Crosstown. Be safe out there...

2 p.m. update: Strengthening

Here's your National Hurricane Center 2 p.m. update headline:

ERNESTO NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH ...

Maximum sustained winds have climbed back up to 70 mph...

That's really a concern for the folks north of us though. At this moment, Tropical Storm Ernesto is located 90 miles southeast of Charleston at LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST... moving north-northeast at 17 mph (it's getting faster).

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

We'll add the storm track graphic as soon as we can get our hands on it...

Coming up: Bridges closing?

We're getting ready for a press conference in about five minutes or less and the word is it's going to be about closing bridges.

Could be an announcement, don't know yet. So stand by, and we'll be back with a live post soon.

UPDATE: This just in from Bo Petersen:

Sc Hwy Patrol is considering closing at least the Don Holt and Wando bridges on I-526. Announcement expected shortly

"I just went over the Don Holt myself and I didn't like it. It isn't so much the wind, it's the wind-driven rain. There's novisibility" Cpl. Paul Brouthers, SC Highway Patrol

Also coming up: The 2 p.m. NHC update will spot the location of the eye.

Flash flood warning

Charleston just went under a National Weather Service flash flood warning until 3 p.m. It covers Charleston peninsula, James Island, West Ashley, Folly Beach and John's Island.

Warning was issued at 13:27.

AT 125 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING FROM ERNESTO IN THE CHARLESTON METRO AREA. LAW ENFORCEMENT INDICATED THAT SEVERAL ROADS WERE CLOSED IN DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 300 PM. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN AND AROUND... CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...   JAMES ISLAND...WEST ASHLEY...   FOLLY BEACH...  JOHNS ISLAND...  KIAWAH ISLAND...

The NWS wants you to report flooding to 1-888-383-2024, just like the county EOC wants you to report flooding at 724 -3745 or 724-7311. So heck, if you're flooded in and don't have access to a blog, just start calling folks.

Streets that we know of that are flooded and closed: Ashley, Bee, Courtenay. In other words, round up the usual suspects...

I'm talking to a source who is looking at the intersection of Simons and Rutledge, and the word is it's flooded, but not as badly as it flooded last week. When that intersection floods, it's a safe bet that King Street has flooded at Huger.

UPDATE: Local blogger Eugene Mah reports in comments:

People will also want to avoid Jonathan Lucas right around MUSC's Clinical Science Building. I spotted a couple of public safety officers standing in knee deep water there. Access to Roper Hospital off Jonathan Lucas still appears to be possible though.

Reminder: High tide was just nine minutes ago, so there's not a lot of available drainage at the moment.

Shelter numbers, etc.

This just in from reporter Bo Petersen, who is stationed at the Charleston County EOC... As of 12:30 p.m., the emergency shelters in Charleston County were serving a population 52 people: 29 at North Charleston High School, 15 at Stall High School; eight at the special needs shelter at Alice Birney Middle School.

Also, EOC officials are asking the public to report flooding when they see it. Here are the numbers: 724 -3745 or 724-7311.

UPDATE: Speaking of flooding, here's a report from blogger Jared Smith in comments at 13:25:

Ashley Ave. has just been shut down at Bennett St. by police

Makes sense. Ashley Avenue floods if there's excessive morning dew...

Get help soon in Berkeley County

Berkeley County Emergency Preparedness Director Jason Patno said residents who need assistance should call 719-4800 as soon as possible.

"They need to seek shelter before we start to feel those effects, otherwise make preparations to shelter in place," Patno said.

As of 11: 30 a.m., no problems have been reported in Berkeley, Patno said.

There are no power outages, he said. "The weather right now is little a little overcast, but the winds are not
blowing and it's not raining," Patno said.

Sideways

Rain is falling sideways on the peninsula at the moment. That would be an outer band passing overhead.

13:31 UPDATE: I've been trying to display a radar image that shows exactly what downtown is receiving, and now I'm giving up. But yep, we're under a cell...

The view from Wal-Mart

Deputy managing editor for design Andy Owens reports:

Everyone in Wal-Mart on Main Street in Summerville gasped momentarily about 11:30 this morning when the lights flickered. You could see people put more batteries in buggies and the checkout lines filled up fast as everyone was anticipating a possible Ernesto-related power outage. But aside from some flashing stoplights, it's just a bad rainstorm in Flowertown.

High winds and bridges

Bridgefoto Emergency officials start shutting down Lowcountry bridges when wind speeds start topping 40 mph, and many of us simply don't like the idea of driving around in tropical conditions.

So bookmark this tool: a page of SCDOT traffic cams. Click on a cam, see the most recent snapshot of traffic (and, incidentally, weather) conditions from that vantage point.

Might give you a little advance recon before you decide to stay or go.

Ernesto 11 a.m.

Ernesto11thurs

Ernesto is heading Toward South Carolina and it's a little stronger, says the National Hurricane Center's 11 a.m. advisory. Its forecasted point of entry into the state has  remained at or around  North Myrtle Beach.  A hurricane watch has been issued from the South Santee River, S.C., to Cape Lookout, N.C. Hurricane conditions are possible  there within the next 12 hours. The tropical storm warning has been extended northward to Currituck Beach Light including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds. Read the advisory here. Hurricane hunters flying into the storm have measure peak winds at 61 knots. Read the forecast discussion here.

Ernesto: A British perspective

Geoff Marshall is a Londoner who moved to the Charleston peninsula this spring, bringing his popular Geofftech  blog with him. Geoff is best known in London as the guy who blogged his Guinness-World-Record-setting fastest time to ride the entire London subway system (a feat that garnered him significant media attention), and for paying for his first iPod entiredly out of donations he collected on his blog, 50 pence at a time. 

Since arriving in the Lowcountry, Geoff has been blogging humorously about the differences between England and the United States as he experiences them. He did a video post during Alberto, his first tropical storm, and has decided to live-blog Ernesto, hour-by-hour.

[10:00] It’s still not that rainy.  Or windy.  It just looks a bit grey and miserable out there.  Reminds me of England.

Stay tuned...

Update from Away team

Our intrepid reporter Adam Parker and photographer par excellence Mic Smith are in Myrtle Beach giving us updates as the storm heads there. We'll be calling them the Away team - although beaming them home is not an option yet.

They will be updating throughout the day. Here's Adam's first report:   

By 8 a.m. Ernesto had been upgraded to a tropical storm, with sustained winds at about 40 mph and gusts reaching 55 mph. But the storm was still hours from making landfall here along the Grand Strand. It's arrival was scheduled to coincide with an ebbing tide -- good news. High tide is at 1:30 p.m.; low tide at 7:40 p.m.

It's skirting the coast, innundating parts of the state with sloppy bands of slanting rain. It is possible that it could strengthen further as it tracks over open water.

Horry County has issued no mandatory evacuations, and most people here are taking the bad weather in stride, knowing that Friday will be a better day.

The ocean, once a solid warship gray, is now speckled with small white caps. Andy Burkett, a pool maintenance worker at Crown Reef hotel said he lowered the water levels of the pools so they wouldn't overflow should heavy rains deluge the resort. Burkett took all but a few yellow inner tubes to storage, but anyone wanting to meander along the "Lazy River" between the building's concrete pilings could still do so.

Bob Drobish has been vacationing with his wife and three daughters in Myrtle Beach since Saturday. They came from New Jersey -- as they've been doing annually for seven or eight years -- and spent part of the morning strolling the wind-swept beach, dipping toes in the mildly roiling surf and tolerating angular rain drops. The Drobish family was unconcerned about the stormy weather.

They still had two or three days of beachside vacationing left.

EOC press conference

The EOC press conference starts earlier than expected...

Leon Stavrinakis: Urges caution. "Some tracks still bring it ashore in Charleston County"

Cathy Haynes: Use common sense, pay attention to your surroundings.

Stavrinakis: We recommend to people... the safest place to be is indoors in a safe facility.

Haynes: We'll stay at OPCON 1 as long as we've got shelters and until the storm is past.

Stavrinakis: OPCON numbers aren't there to scare the public, they represent levels of staffing and types of activity...

Should people go to work? Stavrinakis: "Our advice to people is... when the weather turns foul, people should be indoors."

Haynes: No report from state EOC conference call about National Guard being shifted anywhere yet... hard to determine when we'll start feeling the direct effects of the storm here...

So, as expected: Nothing new, don't get complacent, stay alert, be cautious, go inside when things get bad. "They're kinda of leaving people to plan their own days, and reminding them not to be stupid," said P&C reporter Robert Behre, who called after the event.

Haynes mentioned shelters, but nobody gave details on shelter use. Robert says the shelter population at 7 a.m. was 25 people: 17 at North Charleston High School, two at Stall High School and six at Alice Birney Middle School, the special medical needs shelter.  "(The shelters) were opened out of an abundance of caution, and I think most people know that," Robert said.

View from the blogs

Lowcountry weather watchers would do well to bookmark Jared W. Smith: The Blog, since Jared is a heavy-duty weather blogger (who, by the way, also happens to be a published tech author and a 22-year-old C of C student).  TV meteorologist Brian Goode also keeps a useful weather blog. But others have things to say, too...

Vera's Crafty Blog:
At the time of this writing, we are just getting the beginning bands of the storm. Schools are closed, shelters are open, and the media is is full panic tilt. I just looked outside, and the weather is humid and still, although it should go downhill very soon... If you want to know what other Charleston bloggers are writing about Ernesto, do check out our blog planet.  There are some excellent storm updates there.

Munificent Musings:
Again this storm showcases the problems associated with predicting more than 2 days from landfall. Yet, to be fair, I’m glad that professionals are there to give us advanced warning. Specifically I’m talking about the NWS people and not the talking heads on the local news.

Tales from the Microbial Laboratory:
(From last night) If the forecast was at all linked to my adrenalin level (which, gratefully, it is not), we'd all be taking naps and making pots of soup and looking forward to tomorrow like it's the snow day we all so desperately need and deserve.

The Chip Mathis Experience:
(From last night) Oh My God, They're Already On the Beaches... The damn weather reporters, that is. I'm watching Count On 2 news, and they already have reporters out, to report conditions on the ground. And we don't expect the storm to hit until, you know, tomorrow. After lunch.

8 a.m. NHC update

Ernesto8athurs Doesn't look like much has changed, at least from a Lowcountry perspective. The storm is about 170 miles away. The NHC is talking more about Northeast South Carolina and the threat of tornados in North Carolina than they are about the Charleston area...

So it's still basically good news for the Lowcountry, though experience teaches that you never trust a tropical storm. Ever. And we're not alone in that suspicious attitude: blogger Jared W. Smith, who runs a downtown weather station, has been paying close attention to multiple forecasting tools, and notices one that still gives him pause...

I’m watching the Live 5 FutureTracker, and it seems their model still takes the center very close to Charleston.  Interesting…

Next up for us: 9 a.m. EOC press conference...

What's a "low-lying area?"

A commenter left us this question last night:

Which people should evacuate and what is considered low lying. I live in a third story apartment in summerville

We left an answer in comments (voluntary evacuations of low-lying areas are famously subjective and vague), but here's a more specific way of finding out whether your location is low-lying, at least from an insurance company perspective.

It's the Floodsmart.gov site's risk assessment page. Enter your address and you'll get a flood risk rating.

Turns out mine is "high."

Coming up: Updates, announcements

The 5 a.m. NHC update was the big news this morning, and local officials are discussing it on the 7:30 a.m. Emergency Operations Center conference call at this hour.

We're still about 15 minutes away from the 8 a.m. NHC update on Ernesto. That's typically a positional and data update -- no new forecasting will get done until the 11 a.m. advisory.

After that, we'll be looking ahead toward a 9 a.m. EOC press conference, and once again Robert Behre is our reporter there. The county has been at its OPCON 1 since last night, but Robert doesn't anticipate big headlines out of this morning's event. Most of the important decisions were made yesterday, so the most likely scenario is that local officials will talk about the forecast, remind people of what to do and expect, then take a few questions.

Questions? Leave us a comment here on the site and we'll try to answer them.

Interview: NWS Charleston

Remember the rain we had a week ago? According the National Weather Service in Charleston, Tropical Storm Ernesto could wind up producing less local flooding than that less dramatic, unnamed storm that dumped about 3 inches of rain in an hour, right on top of a high tide.

Today's ground-zero for the 10-mile wide eye of Ernesto: Georgetown, mostly likely coming ashore around 8 p.m.

That's leaving Charleston on Ernesto's weak western side. The Lowcountry's near-miss "seems pretty certain based on the radar trends," said NWS meteorologist Frank Alsheimer. 

"We certainly are on the weaker side in terms of winds and rain along the west side of the storm, but there is still a lot of rain on the west side of the storm as it's passing over Georgia right now."

That means Charleston can expect about 2 to 3 inches of rain on Thursday, with the most likely time for intense showers coming in the midafternoon, when the eye of the storm will be directly to our east.

"(The eye will pass) near the time of high tide (1:44 in Charleston harbor), which is why we're still in a flood watch for Charleston, Berkeley and Dorchester counties," Alsheimer said.

But it's not just the amount of rain that affects flooding: it's also the rate at which it falls. And with Ernesto trucking north at 15 mph, even the most intense rainfall isn't going to hang around one place and pound it, like last Thursday's storm did to the peninsula.

The Lowcountry isn't expected to get by unscathed, as we're likely to receive tropical storm force winds this afternoon. Ernesto's TS winds already extend 85 miles from the center, and with its central pressure dropping again, forecasters expect the storm to intensify today as it cruises up the gulf stream.

"It's still going to come close enough to give some of the area tropical storm effects," Alsheimer said.

5 a.m. NHC forecast

Ernesto5athuTropical Storm Ernesto is located near 30.0 N, 80.2 W, roughly 195 miles south of Charleston. It's approaching at 15 mph, packing 50 mph sustained winds.

Forecasters expect it to strengthen, increase its forward speed... and take a north-by-northeastlerly turn that could sweep the worst of the effects right past our shores and dump the problems on North Carolina.

From this morning's NHC discussion:

Ernesto has about 18 hours over water in which to intensify. The intensity guidance calls for gradual strengthening... It should be noted that Ernesto could become a little stronger than indicated in the forecast after 12 hours and prior to it reaching the coast... But reaching hurricane intensity appears unlikely.

That 18-hour figure has a lot to do with the stormtrack's eastern shift that was first noted in the 11 p.m. forecast. The farther east it moves, the more time it spends over water and the farther it goes away from us. Kinda makes you wonder about the power of Hurricane Cookies...

Ernesto2athurwind But a reminder: Not only does this forecast not take us out of the proverbial woods, take a look at the wind advisory map from 2 a.m. (click on image to see full-size). We've got a 50 percent chance of experiencing tropical storm-force winds, and that  likelihood could increase whenever the 5 a.m. update on the wind forecast actually gets posted (6:54 editor's note: It didn't increase. If anything, it looks a little less likely). The 5 a.m. Ernesto advisory says that the storm is pushing TS-force winds out 85 miles, and the storm looks like it will stay within 85 miles of our coast if it stays on this track.

Of course, the good news is, we're on the weak, western side.

530thusat Here's the most recent view from space, taken about 15 minutes ago. It's interesting because it shows just how complex the weather off the Atlantic coast really has been. As a Charleston area forecaster said yesterday, that system in the north east has been interacting with Ernesto, giving the tropical storm some of the characteristics of a nor' easter.

You can also see a distinct outer band from this storm just now passing over the Savannah River. We know what that means: rain.

8310748utcseradar Meanwhile, just because, here's the latest radar mosaic. From this perspective, you get the sense that we're already involved in this storm.

The big news today is that we're going to have a lot of kids at home and disrupted schedules, and most likely a lot of rain. We'll keep checking...

5 a.m. coming up

Ernesto2athur Here's the 2 a.m. intermediate update, for reference, as we wait on the 5 a.m. full forecast...

From a Lowcountry perspective, the obvious subject of interest has been the maintenance of that eastward jog the track took at the 11 p.m. update.

This moved the NHC track closer to what the private Accuweather service had been predicting earlier on Wednesday, and it's holding so far...

Windy honeymoon?

5day_1

It's downright odd to think about the  track Ernesto is taking  --  who thinks of a tropical depression striking right between Lake Erie and Lake Ontario? With winds up to 38 mph in a tropical depression, that would make for an interesting visit to Niagara Falls.

11:25 p.m. Update

At 11:25 p.m. the National Hurricane Center issued a special update to indicate that Ernesto has been upgraded once again to tropical storm status.

DURING THE PAST HOUR...NOAA BUOY 41009 HAS REPORTED AN 8-MINUTE
AVERAGE WIND OF 36 MPH...AND THE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR AT MELBOURNE, FLORIDA HAS SHOWN WINDS OF 45-60 MPH AT 1000-2500 FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE.  BASED ON THESE DATA...IT IS ESTIMATED THAT ERNESTO HAS REGAINED TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH EAST OF THE CENTER.

30 August 2006

Evacuating with Fido?

If you're planning on heading out of town tomorrow to avoid Ernesto, but you wouldn't dream of leaving Spot or Fifi behind, you might want to find a pet-friendly hotel in South Carolina. This Web site lists fur-hospitable hotels from Aiken to Yemassee. Don't forget to take food, water, a leash and any pet medications you might need.

Shelter update

One additional shelter has opened in Charleston County. Alice Birney Middle School, 7750 Pinehurst St. in North Charleston, will serve as a shelter for individuals with special needs.

Charleston County has a complete guide for emergency preparedness for those with disabilities. You can read it online.

As of 11:30 p.m. Wednesday, there was one person at the Stall High School shelter in North Charleston, and 14 in residence at the North Charleston High School shelter.

In Dorchester County, open shelters include Fort Dorchester High School, 8500 Patriot Blvd.;         
Summerville High School, 835 So. Main St.; Woodland High School, 4128 US Hwy. 78 in St. George ; and a Special Medical Needs shelter has opened at Summerville Senior Center, 312 N. Laurel St., Summerville. Please call 202-7100 for information on this shelter.

Berkeley County residents who need non-emergency transportation assistance to the county's shelter locations should call 843-719-4800.  The  Berkeley shelters open include  Berkeley High School
406 W. Main Street - Moncks Corner ; Goose Creek High School, 1137 Red Bank Road; and a special medical needs shelter at Berkeley Intermediate School, 777 Stoney Landing Road in Moncks Corner.




11 p.m. Update

11_1 By the 11 p.m. update, Ernesto has shifted a bit to the east, making it more likely that the storm will make landfall further north on the South Carolina coast, between Georgetown and Myrtle Beach, according to Steven Taylor of the National Weather Service in Charleston.

The storm is expected to gain speed and strength tonight.

"It's already very close to tropical storm strength again," Taylor said. Trends in the next six hours will dictate how much strength develops in the storm, he said

According to the National Hurricane Center, the depression is moving north, away from the coast of Florida, near 14 mph. Ernesto is expected to turn toward the north-northeast and gain speed, bringing the center near the Palmetto State's coast late Thursday or Thursday night.

A tropical storm warning was discontinued along the Florida coast south of Cocoa Beach. North of Cocoa and up to Cape Lookout, N.C., the warning remains in effect.

At 11 p.m., the broad center of Ernesto was near Latitude 28.7 north and Longitude 80.6 west. It is north of Cape Canaveral, Fla., and about 360 miles south-southwest of Myrtle Beach. Sustained winds are near 35 mph, and that's expected to pick up as the storm passes over the ocean.

Coastal storm surge flooding of three to five feet above normal tide levels is possible along the South and North Carolina coasts.

Colleton closings

Cross-posted from Andy Paras' Colleton Now news blog (originally posted at 7:14 p.m.):

All non-emergency county offices will be closed Thursday on account of Tropical Depression Ernesto.

County administration made the decision a few minutes ago after taking in consideration the threat of heavy winds and rain.

All schools are closed as well Thursday. Colleton County High School has been turned into a shelter since county officials issued a voluntary evacuation at noon today. All  residents who reside in beachfront homes, barrier islands, mobile homes and low-lying areas are advised to seek shelter if they're concerned for their safety.

The Colleton Medical Center has opened a special needs shelter.

Anyone who needs more information can call Colleton County Emergency Preparedness at 549-5632.

It could be worse ...

235541w_sm You could be taking your dream vacation in Acapulco.

Sure, we have Ernesto headed in our general direction, and that's no fun for a tourist, but even when he strengthens back to tropical storm status (39-73 mph winds), Ernesto won't hold a candle to his West Coast cousin, Category 4 Hurricane John. John's sustained winds are estimated at 135 mph and hurricane force winds extend out 60 miles from the center.

John has been sweeping north-northwest, with the center just off the southwestern coast of Mexico.

8 p.m. Update

Ernesto8pwed At 8 p.m., Ernesto's center has finally decided to leave Florida and is about to emerge into the Atlantic. Heavy rains continue over central and southwestern Florida.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Sebastian Inlet, Fla., to Cape Lookout, N.C.

"They did not change the track" at the 8 p.m. update, said Stann Kropp of the National Weather Service in Charleston. "Ernesto is forecast to shift back to a tropical storm tonight and tomorrow."

A tropical storm has sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph.

"Voluntary evacuations have been ordered in Charleston and Colleton counties for those on beaches, low-lying and flood-prone areas," Kropp said.

Moderate flooding can be expected when the storm reaches this area around 2 p.m. Thursday, Kropp said. A storm tide of 7 to 9 feet is expected, with the highest tide across the northeast portion of Charleston County near Bull's Bay and Cape Romain.

According to the National Hurricane Center   at 8 p.m. the broad center of tropical depression Ernesto was located near Latitude 28.2 North and Longitude 80.7 West, or just northwest of Melbourne, Fla.

The depression is moving north near 15 mph. A gradual turn to the north-northeast is expected Thursday. Ernesto's center is expected to reach the Atlantic waters near Cape Canaveral in the next few hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph.

Here's an interesting forecast

From Jared W. Smith:

I anticipate the closure of most of the bridges during the day tomorrow, making mobility limited for at least several hours. I also believe the potential for hurricane parties has increased dramatically considering the closure of most, if not all, of the major colleges.

I'm surprised the NHC doesn't offer stats on hurricane party probability. It's a topic of major interest in Charleston...

It's been a busy day around here, and thanks to everyone who has been contributing and reading. This blog will stay live for updates at 8 p.m. and 11 p.m., but the tempo of posting will probably decline a bit in the next few hours since we're heading into lull time ... and I need to go eat.

Marsha Guerard will be handling tonight's updates blog updates, and we'll be updating the top story at Charleston.net as the situation develops. I'll be back before the 5 a.m. update (unless something changes at the 11 and we need to pay particular attention to the 2 a.m. intermediate report).

Surf on the way

To a certain segment of the Lowcountry citizenry, "hurricane warning" means "great waves!"

Staffer Richard Green sends this 6 p.m. report from SurfLine:

SOUTH CAROLINA
Conditions:
THURSDAY

Ernesto approaches the region. Rising, becoming 4-5 foot SE windswell. Larger windswell peaks are possible depending on just how much re-strengthening, if any, of Ernesto occurs.

Staffer Tony Brown reports on today's surf: "By about 2 o'clock (Wednesday) it started flattening out and became chop. Looks like knee deep slop. This morning is was running pretty good, some of the bigger stuff I've been in this year. Not well-shaped."

Cris Sumpter, also known as Ye Old Prognosticator to other surfers, says it could glass-off  Thursday morning and then be good for a short time before the storm arrives: "It looks like we will have offshores tomorrow starting at about 11. The storm is now a depression so shouldn't have much of a chance to become a pain in the butt. We could see some serious glass with the incoming tide if this comes to pass. Lets hope."

Are you a tourist?

If so, we're so sorry! Please come again when it's not hurricane season.

Visitors' questions may be directed to the Charleston Area Convention & Visitors Bureau at (843) 853-8000, or you may visit its Web site.

Charleston County update

6:15 p.m. Ernesto News Updates from Charleston County Emergency Operations Center

Charleston County will remain at Operating Condition (OPCON) 1 throughout Wednesday night and into Thursday, Aug. 1. The OPCON 1 level means a disaster or emergency situation is in effect, full-fledged emergency response operations are on-going, and Charleston County is at the highest state of emergency operations.

The Town of Mount Pleasant offices will be open as usual tomorrow, but will review releasing non-essential personnel by noon.

Roper St. Francis Healthcare has outlined the following plans in response to Tropical Storm Ernesto:
-    We will proceed with most, if not all, clinical and diagnostic services (including surgeries) tomorrow, Thursday, August 31.
-    All RSFH facilities, including Lowcountry Senior Center on James Island, will remain open unless otherwise indicated below:

Facility Closings:
Roper St. Francis Medical Center Mount Pleasant (570 Long Point Road) will be closed Thursday, August 31. 
Roper St. Francis Kiawah Seabrook Medical & Urgent Care Center (345 Freshfields Drive) will open as usual Thursday, August 31 and plans to close at 12 noon unless weather conditions call for closing earlier.
Roper St. Francis Learning Center will be closed Thursday, August 31. 
Medical University of South Carolina (MUSC): 
All clinics including services in Rutledge Tower and Carolina Family Care will be closed Thursday, Aug. 31, and employees in those areas do not need to report to work.
University classes are canceled for Thursday.
For the main hospital, inpatient clinical and support staff essential for patient care are needed. This means staff will need to report at the regularly scheduled time and plan on remaining longer than usual (e.g., up to 10:00 p.m.), depending on conditions.
All MUSC, MUHA and UMA managers should use appropriate discretion in approving leave for employees who are not essential for patient care and support services.
Regardless of employees’ normal parking location, the following garages will be open for employee parking on Thursday; County, Rutledge Tower, Harborview and Ashley. The President Street garage (PGII) will be open for employees who regularly park in PGII and for any IOP employees.
Because of expected flooding there will be no MUSC bus service after 1:00 a.m. Thursday morning, and Hagood parking lot will not be available. Garages will be open at 5:30 a.m. Thursday morning.

Special medical needs shelter:
Alice Birney Middle School (7750 Pinehurst Street; N. Charleston, SC 29420) is only for special medical needs citizens. Each special medical needs person must bring one caregiver with them. Not everyone with a disability or a special need can take refuge at a special medical needs shelter. Only those who have specific medical conditions that require electricity or special monitoring can go to a special medical needs shelter. Call 202-7100 to determine if your circumstances indicate a plan to attend a special medical needs shelter.

Bond court will be open: All Charleston County Government Offices will be closed on Thursday, Aug. 31, including the court systems. BUT Charleston County Centralized Bond Hearing Court will operate from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m. on Thursday, Aug. 31. It is anticipated that Bond Court will resume normal business hours on Friday, Sept. 1.


Wind/rain update

Bo Petersen reports:

AccuWeather.com
, a private forecasting company, on Wednesday evening continued to forecast the storm to make landfall somewhere between Myrtle Beach and Wilmington near midnight Thursday, and doing it as a Category 1 hurricane "is not out of the realm of possibility," it said.

Passing Charleston during the day, the storm is expected to bring 15-30 mph winds with gusts to tropical storm force near the coast, 10-20 mph with 30-35 mph gusts farther inalnd

Rainfall could range from 6 inches or more on the coast northeast of Charleston to 2 inches farther inland.

"The real meat and potatoes of this storm will begin late tonight and last at least until midday if not most of the afternoon," said meteorologist Marc Spilde.

But he warned the storm has held together well moving over inland Florida and "it could ramp up. Things could change."

A more westward track could bring the Lowcountry more severe winds and rain. "We're going to have to follow it and see how it pans out."

Blood drive canceled

The American Red Cross has canceled Thursday’s blood drive by WCBD-TV, the NBC affiliate in Charleston. The drive was expected to draw more than 500 blood donors.

To make up for the loss, the agency has added the following emergency blooddrives in Columbia Thursday:

The Plex at the Village at Sandhill, Clemson Road, 2 to 7 p.m.
Best Buy, Harbison Boulevard, 2 to 7 p.m.
Columbia Donor Center, 2751 Bull Street, 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. The drive will also continue Friday.
Swansea High School, 500 East First Street, Swansea, 8:30 a.m. to 2:30 p.m.
Florence Donor Center, 1555-B West Palmetto Street, Florence, 8 a.m. to 7 p.m.

Blood donors of all blood types are urged to donate Thursday and Friday. No appointments are needed. For more inform